The Lloyds share price is up 50%. I’d still buy.

Even after climbing 50%, Christopher Ruane thinks the Lloyds share price still has room to grow. Here he explains why – and his next move.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Shares in Lloyds (LSE: LLOY) have put in a solid performance of late. Over the past 12 months, the Lloyds share price is up 50%.

Even after that increase, I would still buy Lloyds shares for my portfolio. Here are three reasons why – and one risk I see.

Leading high street position

Lloyds itself has a well-known brand name and iconic black horse logo. Not only that, the group owns other banking brands with regional strength, such as Halifax and Bank of Scotland.

That means that the company is well-positioned to keep attracting new business long into the future. With a large branch network, growing online presence, and market leading position in mortgage lending, I see Lloyds’ prominence in customers’ minds as an asset. It should help the company continue to generate substantial revenues and profits in future.

Clear strategic focus

Banking, when performed efficiently and cautiously, can be highly profitable. History shows that many banks stumble by getting involved in exotic markets or costly investments without properly assessing the risk. That is what caused the last financial crisis – but it’s also what caused many bank failures across the preceding centuries.

Lloyds has a very clear strategy. I think that could help bolster the Lloyds share price. It is squarely focussed on its home market. It is also specialised in retail and commercial banking. So, for example, it doesn’t have the investment banking exposure of rival Barclays, or the global presence of UK-listed banks like HSBC and Standard Chartered.

That risks lower profits when other markets outperform the UK, for example. But it also cuts risk in my view, by making the whole business easier to understand and manage. On top of that, it makes sense to focus on UK banking as a way to capitalise on its strong position in this market.

Dividend impact on the Lloyds share price

The company has restored its dividend. While it is still constrained by its regulator as to how much it can pay, Lloyds is currently paying out the maximum it can. It has also indicated it plans to return to a progressive dividend policy.

Meanwhile, the company’s CET liquidity ratio at 16.7% is well ahead of its target of around 12.5%. In layman’s terms, that means the cash pile it could use to help fund future dividends has been growing.

As the dividend grows, I expect that to help boost the Lloyds share price. So I would still buy the bank’s shares today, both for income and growth potential.

Lloyds share price risk

However, all shares carry risks and this is true of Lloyds.

For example, the heavy exposure to the UK housing market may be positive right now. But in the event of a housing market downturn, it could leave the bank nursing heavy provisions for bad loans. That could damage both revenues and profits.

My next move

I already hold Lloyds in my portfolio. But I continue to see it as an attractive investment opportunity at the current price. I would consider adding more Lloyds shares to my holding.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

christopherruane owns shares of Lloyds Banking Group and Standard Chartered. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Barclays, HSBC Holdings, Lloyds Banking Group, and Standard Chartered. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Fireworks display in the shape of willow at Newcastle, Co. Down , Northern Ireland at Halloween.
Investing Articles

Why the IDS share price could leap next week!

On 17 April, the IDS share price skyrocketed after a foreign bidder made a takeover approach. But time is rapidly…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Could this FTSE 250 stock be the next Rolls-Royce?

With its debt coming down, its free cash flow going up, and a recovery in demand for cruises, could FTSE…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Gold won’t earn me passive income. Investing £9 a week like this will!

Christopher Ruane explains how, learning from billionaire Warren Buffett, he'd aim to set up passive income streams for under £10…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s why I’ve changed my mind about buying dividend stocks for passive income

Can buying dividend stocks for passive income actually work out well for investors? Here’s the unvarnished truth.

Read more »

Young female hand showing five fingers.
Investing Articles

5 things the stock market taught me these last 5 years

After reaching new highs in early 2020, Covid-19 collapsed stock markets. Almost five years later, I look back on five…

Read more »

Young woman working at modern office. Technical price graph and indicator, red and green candlestick chart and stock trading computer screen background.
Investing Articles

Could this British AI stock be a future NVIDIA?

This British AI stock has seen revenues soar, but so far its share price has been a bitter disappointment for…

Read more »

British Pennies on a Pound Note
Investing Articles

Down 85%, is this value share a bargain in plain sight?

This UK value share sells for pennies despite owning a brand familiar from roads across the country. Is it the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

As Rolls-Royce shares hit a new high, could they double again?

Christopher Ruane lays out some attractions and risks he sees in the rising Rolls-Royce share price -- and whether he…

Read more »